From Jevons to Khazzoom-Brookes: Why energy efficiency alone won’t lead to sustainability

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.63775/hk5d1t79

Keywords:

Jevons Paradox, Khazzoom-Brookes Postulate, energy efficiency, rebound effect, renewable energy, sustainability policy, energy sufficiency

Abstract

Energy efficiency is extensively advocated as a fundamental sustainability strategy; nevertheless, historical and empirical evidence indicates that improvements in efficiency frequently result in heightened energy use instead of absolute reductions. The Jevons Paradox, further elaborated as the Khazzoom-Brookes Postulate, manifests when reduced energy expenses lead to increased consumption across individual, industrial, and macroeconomic levels. Rebound effects occur in transportation, manufacturing, and digital technologies, where improvements in efficiency often lead to increased overall energy consumption. This analysis investigates the extent to which these dynamics apply to the renewable energy transition, wherein efficiency improvements in solar, wind, and battery storage frequently result in heightened power demand instead of equivalent fossil fuel displacement.

Author Biographies

  • Ignas Mikalauskas, Klaipėda University

    Ignas Mikalauskas is a senior researcher at Klaipėda University, Faculty of Marine Technology and Natural Sciences. His work explores the interplay between energy economics, technological change, and sustainability, with a particular focus on rebound effects, the Jevons paradox, and post-growth energy policy. His research examines the limitations of energy efficiency as a stand-alone strategy and advocates for integrated approaches that include energy sufficiency and systemic demand-side interventions. Dr. Mikalauskas has published on energy transitions, behavioral responses to efficiency gains, and the socio-economic dimensions of renewable energy deployment.

  • Darius Karaša, Lithuanian Energy Institute

    Darius Karasa, MSc, is a PhD student of Economics at the Laboratory of Energy Systems Research, Lithuanian Energy Institute. His research focuses on the topic of his dissertation “Evaluation of Investments in the Use of Renewable Energy Sources for Energy Production Using the Theory of Financial Saturation”.

References

2024 Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use. (2024). Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-releases-new-report-evaluating-increase-electricity-demand-data-centers

A. Greening, L., Greene, D. L., & Difiglio, C. (2000). Energy efficiency and consumption—The rebound effect—A survey. Energy Policy, 28(6), 389–401. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00021-5

Akar, G., & Guldmann, J.-M. (2012). Another Look at Vehicle Miles Traveled Determinants of Vehicle Use in Two-Vehicle Households. Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2322, 110–118. https://doi.org/10.3141/2322-12

Alcott, B. (2005). Jevons’ paradox. Ecological Economics, 54(1), 9–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.03.020

Amelang, S., & Wehrmann, B. (2023, October 20). Geared-up Germany enters second winter without Russian gas. Clean Energy Wire. https://www.cleanenergywire.org/factsheets/geared-germany-enters-second-winter-without-russian-gas

Archsmith, J., Muehlegger, E., & Rapson, D. S. (2022). Future Paths of Electric Vehicle Adoption in the United States: Predictable Determinants, Obstacles, and Opportunities. Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, 3, 71–110. https://doi.org/10.1086/717219

Atasoy, A. T., Schmitz, H., & Madlener, R. (2021). Mechanisms for Rebound Effects of Solar Electricity Prosuming in Germany (SSRN Scholarly Paper 4706396). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4706396

Aydin, E., Kok, N., & Brounen, D. (2017). Energy efficiency and household behavior: The rebound effect in the residential sector. RAND Journal of Economics, 48(3), 749–782. https://doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.12190

Azevedo, I. (2014). Energy efficiency and rebound effects: A review. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 39.

Bakhtyar, B., Qi, Z., Azam, M., & Rashid, S. (2023). Global declarations on electric vehicles, carbon life cycle and Nash equilibrium. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 25(1), 21–34. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-022-02399-7

Balushi, M. A., Hussaini, S. A., Esri, U. A., Hidaifi, N. A., & Sherimon, V. (2022). The Impact of Smart Homes On Energy Consumptions-A Survey. International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology, 11(10). https://doi.org/10.17577/IJERTV11IS100048

Beppler, R., & Oliver, M. (2021). Electricity Consumption Changes Following Solar Adoption: Testing for a Solar Rebound. Economic Inquiry, (forthcoming). https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13031

Bolinger, M., Wiser, R., & O’Shaughnessy, E. (2022). Levelized cost-based learning analysis of utility-scale wind and solar in the United States. iScience, 25(6), 104378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.104378

Braunerhjelm, P., & Henrekson, M. (2024). Unleashing Society’s Innovative Capacity: An Integrated Policy Framework. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42756-5

Bruchon, M., Chen, Z. L., & Michalek, J. (2024). Cleaning up while Changing Gears: The Role of Battery Design, Fossil Fuel Power Plants, and Vehicle Policy for Reducing Emissions in the Transition to Electric Vehicles. Environmental Science & Technology, 58(8), 3787–3799. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c07098

Buehler, R., & Pucher, J. (2020). The growing gap in pedestrian and cyclist fatality rates between the United States and the United Kingdom, Germany, Denmark, and the Netherlands, 1990–2018. Transport Reviews, 41(1), 48. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2020.1823521

Cai, K., Lemaire, T., Medici, A., Melina, G., Schwerhoff, G., & Thube, S. D. (2024). Harnessing Renewables in Sub-Saharan Africa – Barriers, Reforms, and Economic Prospects. Staff Climate Notes, 2024(005). https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400290107.066.A001

Carbon pricing design: Effectiveness, efficiency and feasibility. (2020, June 22). OECD. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/carbon-pricing-design-effectiveness-efficiency-and-feasibility_91ad6a1e-en.html

Chen, S. (2025a). How much energy will AI really consume? The good, the bad and the unknown. Nature, 639(8053), 22–24. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-025-00616-z

Chen, S. (2025b). How much energy will AI really consume? The good, the bad and the unknown. Nature, 639(8053), 22–24. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-025-00616-z

China to ease energy use curbs to relieve economic pressures. (2021, December 13). Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-ease-energy-use-curbs-relieve-economic-pressures-2021-12-13/

chinapower2017. (2016, February 15). How Is China’s Energy Footprint Changing? ChinaPower Project. https://chinapower.csis.org/energy-footprint/

Clark, B., & Foster, J. B. (2001). WILLIAM STANLEY JEVONS AND ‘THE COAL QUESTION’: An Introduction to Jevons’s ‘Of the Economy of Fuel’. Organization & Environment, 14(1), 93–98.

Clark, G., & Jacks, D. (2007). Coal and the Industrial Revolution, 1700–1869. European Review of Economic History, 11(1), 39–72. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1361491606001870

Costa, C., Wollenberg, E., Benitez, M., Newman, R., Gardner, N., & Bellone, F. (2022). Roadmap for achieving net-zero emissions in global food systems by 2050. Scientific Reports, 12, 15064. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-18601-1

Creedon, J. (2022, August 29). French PM says companies may face energy ‘rationing’ this winter. France 24. https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220829-french-pm-says-companies-may-face-energy-rationing-this-winter

Dal Cin, F., Hooimeijer, F., & Matos Silva, M. (2021). Planning the Urban Waterfront Transformation, from Infrastructures to Public Space Design in a Sea-Level Rise Scenario: The European Union Prize for Contemporary Architecture Case. Water, 13(2), Article 2. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13020218

Data centres & networks. (n.d.). IEA. Retrieved 18 July 2025, from https://www.iea.org/energy-system/buildings/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks

Davidson, M. R., Zhang, D., Xiong, W., Zhang, X., & Karplus, V. J. (2016). Modelling the potential for wind energy integration on China’s coal-heavy electricity grid. Nature Energy, 1(7), 16086. https://doi.org/10.1038/nenergy.2016.86

Della Valle, N., & Bertoldi, P. (2022). Promoting Energy Efficiency: Barriers, Societal Needs and Policies. Frontiers in Energy Research, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2021.804091

Deng, G., & Newton, P. (2017). Assessing the impact of solar PV on domestic electricity consumption: Exploring the prospect of rebound effects. Energy Policy, 110, 313–324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.08.035

Dimitropoulos, A., Oueslati, W., & Sintek, C. (2018). The rebound effect in road transport: A meta-analysis of empirical studies. Energy Economics, 75, 163–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.07.021

Dirma, V., Neverauskienė, L. O., Tvaronavičienė, M., Danilevičienė, I., & Tamošiūnienė, R. (2024). The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth. Energies, 17(24), Article 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17246328

Du, H., Chen, Z., Zhang, Z., & Southworth, F. (2020). The rebound effect on energy efficiency improvements in China’s transportation sector: A CGE analysis. Journal of Management Science and Engineering, 5(4), 249–263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmse.2020.10.005

Durakovic, G., del Granado, P. C., & Tomasgard, A. (2023). Powering Europe with North Sea offshore wind: The impact of hydrogen investments on grid infrastructure and power prices. Energy, 263, 125654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.125654

Dütschke, E., Galvin, R., & Brunzema, I. (2021). Rebound and Spillovers: Prosumers in Transition. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 636109. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.636109

Energy Efficiency Directive. (n.d.). Retrieved 18 July 2025, from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/energy-efficiency/energy-efficiency-targets-directive-and-rules/energy-efficiency-directive_en

Energy efficiency first principle. (n.d.). Retrieved 14 July 2025, from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/energy-efficiency/energy-efficiency-targets-directive-and-rules/energy-efficiency-first-principle_en

Energy efficiency improvements: Implications for carbon emissions and economic output in Germany. (2024, April 16). https://publikationen.bundesbank.de/content/929588

Energy Efficiency—Energy System. (n.d.). IEA. Retrieved 14 July 2025, from https://www.iea.org/energy-system/energy-efficiency-and-demand/energy-efficiency

Executive summary – Electricity 2024 – Analysis. (n.d.). IEA. Retrieved 19 July 2025, from https://www.iea.org/reports/electricity-2024/executive-summary

Farghali, M., Osman, A. I., Chen, Z., Abdelhaleem, A., Ihara, I., Mohamed, I. M. A., Yap, P.-S., & Rooney, D. W. (2023). Social, environmental, and economic consequences of integrating renewable energies in the electricity sector: A review. Environmental Chemistry Letters, 21(3), 1381–1418. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10311-023-01587-1

Fawcett, T., & Darby, S. (2019). Energy sufficiency in policy and practice: The question of needs and wants.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)—U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (n.d.). Retrieved 18 July 2025, from https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=307&t=10

Frondel, M., Kaestner, K., Sommer, S., & Vance, C. (2022). Photovoltaics and the solar rebound: Evidence for Germany. Ruhr Economic Papers, Article 954. https://ideas.repec.org//p/zbw/rwirep/954.html

Fry, W. (2023, July 20). Are major changes coming to your electric bill? 5 things to know. CalMatters. https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2023/07/electricity-bills/

Galvin, R. (2022). Why German households won’t cover their roofs in photovoltaic panels: And whether policy interventions, rebound effects and heat pumps might change their minds. Renewable Energy Focus, 42, 236–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ref.2022.07.002

Galvin, R., Dütschke, E., & Weiß, J. (2021). A conceptual framework for understanding rebound effects with renewable electricity: A new challenge for decarbonizing the electricity sector. Renewable Energy, 176, 423–432. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.05.074

Giampietro, M., & Mayumi, K. (2018). Unraveling the Complexity of the Jevons Paradox: The Link Between Innovation, Efficiency, and Sustainability. Frontiers in Energy Research, 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2018.00026

Gillingham, K. (2018). The Rebound Effect of Fuel Economy Standards: Comment on the Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Proposed Rule for Model Years 2021-2026 Passenger Cars and Light Trucks.

Gillingham, K., Rapson, D., & Wagner, G. (2016). The Rebound Effect and Energy Efficiency Policy. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 10(1), 68–88. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rev017

Girdzijauskas, S. (2024). Ekonominės krizės. Finansinio prisotinimo teorijos įžvalgos. VU leidykla. https://www.knygynas.vu.lt/ekonomines-krizes-finansinio-prisotinimo-teorijos-izvalgos

Glaum, P., Neumann, F., & Brown, T. (2024). Offshore power and hydrogen networks for Europe’s North Sea. Applied Energy, 369, 123530. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123530

Gottron, F. (2001). Energy Efficiency and the Rebound Effect: Does Increasing Efficiency Decrease Demand? https://www.policyarchive.org/handle/10207/3492

Grant, C. A., & Hicks, A. L. (2020). Global Warming Impacts of Residential Electricity Consumption: Agent‐Based Modeling of Rooftop Solar Panel Adoption in Los Angeles County, California. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 16(6), 1008–1018. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.4315

Gürsan, C., de Gooyert, V., de Bruijne, M., & Rouwette, E. (2023). Socio-technical infrastructure interdependencies and their implications for urban sustainability; recent insights from the Netherlands. Cities, 140, 104397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2023.104397

Haga, C., Inoue, T., Hotta, W., Shibata, R., Hashimoto, S., Kurokawa, H., Machimura, T., Matsui, T., Morimoto, J., & Shibata, H. (2019). Simulation of natural capital and ecosystem services in a watershed in Northern Japan focusing on the future underuse of nature: By linking forest landscape model and social scenarios. Sustainability Science, 14(1), 89–106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0623-9

Hardt, L., Barrett, J., Taylor, P. G., & Foxon, T. J. (2020). Structural Change for a Post-Growth Economy: Investigating the Relationship between Embodied Energy Intensity and Labour Productivity. Sustainability, 12(3), Article 3. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12030962

Hasegawa, M. (2021, July 1). Japan to maintain regulated power prices. Latest Market News. https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2230038-japan-to-maintain-regulated-power-prices

Hebous, S., & Vernon-Lin, N. (2024, August 15). Carbon Emissions from AI and Crypto Are Surging and Tax Policy Can Help. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/08/15/carbon-emissions-from-ai-and-crypto-are-surging-and-tax-policy-can-help

Hickel, J., & Kallis, G. (2020). Is Green Growth Possible? New Political Economy, 25(4), 469–486. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2019.1598964

How energy efficiency will power net zero climate goals – Analysis. (2021, March 29). IEA. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/how-energy-efficiency-will-power-net-zero-climate-goals

Howes, A. (2023). Lessons from the age of coal. Nesta.

Jackson, T. (2009). Prosperity Without Growth? The Transition to a Sustainable Economy.

Jadun, P., McMillan, C., Steinberg, D., Muratori, M., Vimmerstedt, L., & Mai, T. (2017). Electrification Futures Study: End-Use Electric Technology Cost and Performance Projections through 2050 (NREL/TP-6A20-70485). Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/70485.pdf.

Jakimowicz, A. (2022). The Energy Transition as a Super Wicked Problem: The Energy Sector in the Era of Prosumer Capitalism. Energies, 15(23), Article 23. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15239109

Jevons, W. S. (1866). The Coal Question; An Inquiry concerning the Progress of the Nation, and the Probable Exhaustion of our Coal-mines (2nd, revised ed.). London: Macmillan and Co. https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/jevons-the-coal-question

Johansen, K. (2022). A Brief History of District Heating and Combined Heat and Power in Denmark: Promoting Energy Efficiency, Fuel Diversification, and Energy Flexibility. Energies, 15(24), Article 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15249281

Jones, E., Youngs, R., Berglund, O., Machin, A., Mellier, C., Smith, G., Marczewski, P., Patterson, J., Zihnioğlu, Ö., Neidhardt, J. G., Cox, R., Yahya, M., Kayssi, I., Cherif, Y., Gumbo, T., Ho, M., Hardy, E., & Buzasu, C. (2024). Civic Activism in the Intensifying Climate Crisis: Tactics, Backlash, and Global Trends. https://policycommons.net/artifacts/17908850/civic-activism-in-an-intensifying-climate-crisis/18804629/

Ju, H., Rahman, M., Khan, M., & Burris, M. (2023). Distributional Impact of a Vehicle Miles Traveled Fee. Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2677. https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981231206157

Kabeyi, M. J. B., & Olanrewaju, O. A. (2022). Sustainable Energy Transition for Renewable and Low Carbon Grid Electricity Generation and Supply. Frontiers in Energy Research, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2021.743114

Kaur, T., & Chana, I. (2015). Energy Efficiency Techniques in Cloud Computing: A Survey and Taxonomy. ACM Comput. Surv., 48(2), 22:1-22:46. https://doi.org/10.1145/2742488

Kikstra, J. S., Li, M., Brockway, P. E., Hickel, J., Keysser, L., Malik, A., Rogelj, J., van Ruijven, B., & Lenzen, M. (2024). Downscaling down under: Towards degrowth in integrated assessment models. Economic Systems Research, 36(4), 576–606. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2301443

Kim, J. D., & Trevena, W. (2021). Measuring the rebound effect: A case study of residential photovoltaic systems in San Diego. Utilities Policy, 69, 101163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2020.101163

Klier, T., & Linn, J. (2011). Fuel Prices and New Vehicle Fuel Economy in Europe (SSRN Scholarly Paper 1978518). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1978518

Kumar. J, C. R., & Majid, M. A. (2020). Renewable energy for sustainable development in India: Current status, future prospects, challenges, employment, and investment opportunities. Energy, Sustainability and Society, 10(1), 2. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13705-019-0232-1

Kushawaha, V., Gupta, G., & Singh, L. (2024). Enhancing Energy Efficiency: Advances in Smart Grid Optimization. International Journal of Innovative Research in Engineering and Management, 11, 100–105. https://doi.org/10.55524/ijirem.2024.11.2.20

Lane, K., & Mayer, A. (2018, November 20). Efficiency should always be the first answer – Analysis. IEA. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/efficiency-should-always-be-the-first-answer

Lee, T. L. (2022). Implications of heating electrification on distribution networks and distributed energy resources [Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology]. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/144976

Li, M., Virguez, E., Shan, R., Tian, J., Gao, S., & Patiño-Echeverri, D. (2022). High-resolution data shows China’s wind and solar energy resources are enough to support a 2050 decarbonized electricity system. Applied Energy, 306, 117996. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117996

Linares, P., Pintos, P., & Würzburg, K. (2017). Assessing the potential and costs of reducing energy demand. Energy Transitions, 1(1), 4. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41825-017-0004-5

Liu, H., Evans, S., Zhang, Z., Song, W., & You, X. (2023, November 30). The Carbon Brief Profile: China. Carbon Brief. https://interactive.carbonbrief.org

Liu, Y. (2009). Vehicle Miles Traveled, Fuel Economy Efficiency And Costs of Corporate Average Fuel Economy Standard. https://www.uh.edu/~cmurray/TCE15/Papers/Liu.pdf

Loch-Temzelides, T. (2024). So Much for German Efficiency: A Warning for Green Policy Aspirations? https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/so-much-german-efficiency-warning-green-policy-aspirations

Lutsey, N., & Sperling, D. (2005). Energy Efficiency, Fuel Economy, and Policy Implications. Transportation Research Record, 1941(1), 8–17. https://doi.org/10.1177/0361198105194100102

Mandel, T., Kranzl, L., & Popovski, E. (2022). Quantifying Energy Efficiency First in EU scenarios: Implications for buildings and energy supply | GlobalABC. https://globalabc.org/resources/publications/quantifying-energy-efficiency-first-eu-scenarios-implications-buildings-and

Mandel, T., Pató, Z., Broc, J.-S., & Eichhammer, W. (2022). Conceptualising the energy efficiency first principle: Insights from theory and practice. Energy Efficiency, 15(6), 41. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-022-10053-w

Muralidhar, R., Borovica-Gajic, R., & Buyya, R. (2022). Energy Efficient Computing Systems: Architectures, Abstractions and Modeling to Techniques and Standards. ACM Comput. Surv., 54(11s), 236:1-236:37. https://doi.org/10.1145/3511094

Net Zero by 2050 – Analysis. (2021, May 18). IEA. https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050

Nguyen, L. T., Ratnasiri, S., Wagner, L., Nguyen, D. T., & Rohde, N. (2024). Solar rebound effects: Short and long term dynamics. Renewable Energy, 223, 120051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2024.120051

Ogundipe, O. B., Okwandu, A. C., Abdulwaheed, S. A., Ogundipe, O. B., Okwandu, A. C., & Abdulwaheed, S. A. (2024). Recent advances in solar photovoltaic technologies: Efficiency, materials, and applications. GSC Advanced Research and Reviews, 20(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.30574/gscarr.2024.20.1.0259

Osman, A. I., Chen, L., Yang, M., Msigwa, G., Farghali, M., Fawzy, S., Rooney, D. W., & Yap, P.-S. (2023). Cost, environmental impact, and resilience of renewable energy under a changing climate: A review. Environmental Chemistry Letters, 21(2), 741–764. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10311-022-01532-8

Otto, S., Oberthür, S., Tönjes, A., Peterson, L., Trollip, H., & Vishwanathan, S. (2023). Sectoral Analysis of energy-intensive industries (Version1 4.3a). NDCASPECTS. chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://ndc-aspects.eu/sites/default/files/2023-10/D4.3a%20Sectoral%20Analysis%20of%20EIIs.pdf

Özsoy, T. (2024). The “energy rebound effect” within the framework of environmental sustainability. WIREs Energy and Environment, 13(2), e517. https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.517

Parry, I. W. H., Black, S., & Zhunussova, K. (2022). Carbon Taxes or Emissions Trading Systems?: Instrument Choice and Design. Staff Climate Notes, 2022(006). https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400212307.066.A001

Renewable energy – powering a safer future. (n.d.). United Nations; United Nations. Retrieved 19 July 2025, from https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/raising-ambition/renewable-energy

Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2022. (2023). International Renewable Energy Agency. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Aug/Renewable-Power-Generation-Costs-in-2022

Rogeau, A., Vieubled, J., de Coatpont, M., Affonso Nobrega, P., Erbs, G., & Girard, R. (2023). Techno-economic evaluation and resource assessment of hydrogen production through offshore wind farms: A European perspective. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 187, 113699. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113699

Sahu, S. (2008). Trends and Patterns of Energy Consumption in India.

Saunders, H. D. (1992). The Khazzoom-Brookes Postulate and Neoclassical Growth*. The Energy Journal, 13(4), 131–148. https://doi.org/10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol13-No4-7

Saunders, H. D. (2000). A view from the macro side: Rebound, backfire, and Khazzoom–Brookes. Energy Policy, 28(6), 439–449. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00024-0

Segovia-Martin, J., Creutzig, F., & Winters, J. (2023). Efficiency traps beyond the climate crisis: Exploration–exploitation trade-offs and rebound effects. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 378(1889), 20220405. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0405

Sharma, A. (2024). Smart Grid Technologies for Enhanced Energy Distribution. Darpan International Research Analysis, 12, 24–37. https://doi.org/10.36676/dira.v12.i3.54

Shen, X., & Lin, B. (2017). Total Factor Energy Efficiency of China’s Industrial Sector: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis. Sustainability, 9(4), Article 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9040646

Small, K. A., & Van Dender, K. (2005). The Effect of Improved Fuel Economy on Vehicle Miles Traveled: Estimating the Rebound Effect Using U.S. State Data, 1966-2001. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1h6141nj

Small, K., & Van Dender, K. (2007). Fuel Efficiency and Motor Vehicle Travel: The Declining Rebound Effect. The Energy Journal, 28, 25–52. https://doi.org/10.2307/41323081

Soni, A., Mittal, A., & Kapshe, M. (2017). Energy Intensity analysis of Indian manufacturing industries. Resource-Efficient Technologies, 3, Article 3. https://doi.org/10.18799/24056529/2017/3/146

Sorrell, S. (2007). The Rebound Effect: An Assessment of the Evidence for Economy-wide Energy Savings from Improved Energy Efficiency. UK Energy Research Centre. https://ukerc.ac.uk/publications/the-rebound-effect-an-assessment-of-the-evidence-for-economy-wide-energy-savings-from-improved-energy-efficiency/

Spencer, T. (2024, October 18). What the data centre and AI boom could mean for the energy sector. IEA. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/what-the-data-centre-and-ai-boom-could-mean-for-the-energy-sector

Sprei, F., Nässén, J., & Holmberg, J. (2006). Experiences from Energy Efficiency Policies in Sweden During the Last 30 Years—Looking at the Building Sector. Proceeding for 2006 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings. https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/40370

Tang, E. (2022). Development of New Products and Energy Consumption in Industrial Production: Relationship and Evidence From China. Frontiers in Energy Research, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.895551

Tao, R., Huang, K., Tang, H., & Bell, D. (2009). Response to the Comments: Fuel Efficiency of Internal Combustion Engines. Energy & Fuels, 23(6), 3339–3342. https://doi.org/10.1021/ef900193z

Thangam, D., .M, H., Ramesh, R., Ramakrishna, G. N., Muddasir, N., Khan, A., Booshan, S., Booshan, B., & Ganesh, R. (2024). Impact of Data Centers on Power Consumption, Climate Change, and Sustainability (pp. 60–83). https://doi.org/10.4018/979-8-3693-1552-1.ch004

Thomas, B. A., Hausfather, Z., & Azevedo, I. L. (2014). Comparing the magnitude of simulated residential rebound effects from electric end-use efficiency across the US. Environmental Research Letters, 9(7), 074010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/7/074010

Use of energy explained. (n.d.). U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Retrieved 18 July 2025, from https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/use-of-energy/transportation.php

Verleger, P. K. (2024). Energy Transition Fantasies. A story of tough sledding. Winter.

von Malmborg, F. (2024). Policy learning for policy change on energy efficiency in European companies. Energy Efficiency, 17(7), 84. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-024-10267-0

Wang, Q., Gao, Z., Tang, H., Yuan, X., & Zuo, J. (2018). Exploring the Direct Rebound Effect of Energy Consumption: A Case Study. Sustainability, 10(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10010259

Wang, Y., Wang, R., Tanaka, K., Ciais, P., Penuelas, J., Balkanski, Y., Sardans, J., Hauglustaine, D., Liu, W., Xing, X., Li, J., Xu, S., Xiong, Y., Yang, R., Cao, J., Chen, J.-M., Wang, L., Tang, X., & Zhang, R. (2023). Accelerating the energy transition towards photovoltaic and wind in China. Nature, 619, 761–767. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06180-8

Wei, T., & Wang, X. (2020). Rebound Effect from Income Savings Due to an Energy Efficiency Improvement by Households: An Input–Output Approach. Energies, 13(16), Article 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13164044

Wiese, F., Taillard, N., Balembois, E., Best, B., Bourgeois, S., Campos, J., Cordroch, L., Djelali, M., Gabert, A., Jacob, A., Johnson, E., Meyer, S., Munkácsy, B., Pagliano, L., Quoilin, S., Roscetti, A., Thema, J., Thiran, P., Toledano, A., … Marignac, Y. (2024). The key role of sufficiency for low demand-based carbon neutrality and energy security across Europe. Nature Communications, 15(1), 9043. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53393-0

Willms, I., & Matthies, E. (2016). Solar policy and practice in Germany: How do residential households with solar panels use electricity? Energy Research & Social Science, 21, 199–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2016.07.008

Wu, R., & Lin, B. (2022). Does Energy Efficiency Realize Energy Conservation in the Iron and Steel Industry? A Perspective of Energy Rebound Effect. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(18), 11767. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191811767

Yang, A., Liu, C., Yang, D., & Lu, C. (2023). Electric vehicle adoption in a mature market: A case study of Norway. Journal of Transport Geography, 106, 103489. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2022.103489

Yang, Y., & Lo, K. (2024). China’s renewable energy and energy efficiency policies toward carbon neutrality: A systematic cross-sectoral review. Energy & Environment, 35(1), 491–509. https://doi.org/10.1177/0958305X231167472

Zhou, N., Levine, M. D., & Price, L. (2010). Overview of current energy-efficiency policies in China. Energy Policy, 38(11), 6439–6452. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.015

Downloads

Published

2025-12-24

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Mikalauskas, I., & Karaša, D. (2025). From Jevons to Khazzoom-Brookes: Why energy efficiency alone won’t lead to sustainability. Transformations and Sustainability, 1(4), 300-327. https://doi.org/10.63775/hk5d1t79